Late Sunday PM July 24th Update –

Good late Sunday evening, everyone. Hopefully, you all had a good weekend and managed to stay cool. For those wondering where I was on Saturday, I took a quick detour home for my high school reunion. It was great catching up with people I haven’t seen in a long time and catching up with my circle of high school friends. It didn’t feel any better back in St. Louis as it was also pretty hot on the other side of Missouri that day. Thankfully, we’ll get a bit of a break from the heat for most of this week. Let’s start with the radar below…

We had some t-storms late this evening skirting east of the Kansas City area and we also had t-storms out in western Kansas stretching down through the panhandles of Oklahoma and Texas. Those t-storms have fired up along a front that’s going to be sticking around for this week…

surfacesetup

With the front around us, I expect rain and t-storms to start Monday morning out. I don’t expect anything to turn severe, but don’t be surprised to hear thunder overnight and into early Monday morning. Overall, we should start around 75°, but some spots could be cooler if some t-storms work over you by sunrise…

mondayam

We should get a break in the action early in the afternoon before some scattered t-storms try to develop going into the rest of our Monday. If we see a good break after the AM rain and see some sunshine pop out, that should be enough to get afternoon highs on Monday near 90°…

mondaypm

In addition to the front that will hang out here this week, the upper level setup also shows a complete shift in our overall pattern this week. We’ve talked about how we were toasting under an upper-level ridge for much of last week. For this week, the ridge shifts west and we get a northwest flow from the jet stream…

jetsetup

That one-two punch keeps rain and t-storm chances around each day this week. Even with t-storms in the forecast, I don’t expect this week to be a complete washout. There will be dry times in between all these t-storm chances that will materialize. At least the rain chances will take the edge off the heat. We’ll have highs mainly in the lower 90s for the work week. By the end of this coming weekend, we’ll see the rain chances taper off and highs will eventually go back into the middle 90s as a result.

If you’re curious as to how the rest of the summer is shaping up or if you want Doug’s latest on the pattern, he has you covered over on headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Monday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

July 31st-August 6th:  Hot through the week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday.

August 7th-13th:  Another hot week with slight chances for thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.

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