Late Saturday PM July 21st – Staying Quiet to Wrap Up the Weekend

Good late Saturday evening, everyone. We had quite a busy late night on Friday and a bit of a loud start to Saturday. Those t-storms didn’t stick around as we got closer to sunrise. The rest of the day was quiet and nice overall. We did have another hot day with highs in the lower to middle 90s, but it was more tolerable today thanks to drier air behind the front that pushed on through. This time around, we don’t have any t-storms to worry about tonight on the radar below…

Sunday will start off quiet and we’ll keep it quiet all day along. In fact, the drier air will allow us to start off in the upper 60s in the morning before we warm up again. Thankfully, we’re not seeing any extreme heat for the week ahead. If you want a better shot for rain, that’s also in the extended forecast. Your look at the week ahead is right below…

Don’t forget that Doug has his latest thoughts on the pattern and the long range forecast all the way through August right below.

Have a good night and a great Sunday!

Nick

Here is your 7-day forecast:

 

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through July

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Temperatures not as bad, yes still hot but not 95-100 degrees.  We are mainly talking mid to upper 80s to near 90 degrees.  We will have thunderstorm chances on Friday and Saturday. This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale. 1’s on thunderstorm days.

July 29th-August 4th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday.  The heat, the humidity really return the second half of the week leading into August.  Also, mainly dry this week.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1 on Sunday.

August 5th-11th:  A hot start to the week, but warm temperatures (Mainly 80s) work in Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  The heat returns to end the week.  We will have the hit and miss storms just about each and every day.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  Just 1’s on the severe weather chart.

August 12th-18th:  The heat and humidity return with highs into the 90s if not 100s through the week.  Mainly a dry week.This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  

August 19th-25th:  A hot first half of the week with warm temperatures the second half of the week.  A few pop-up storms on Tuesday and Wednesday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s on Tuesday and Wednesday.

August 26th-September 1st:  A hot week with pop-up storms on Sunday, Thursday and Friday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on the thundestorm days.

Doug

#headypattern

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dheady@koamtv.com

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