Late Monday PM November 23rd Update

Good Monday evening, everyone. Nick here with another blog update for you at Doug’s request. Today wasn’t a bad day. After a cool start with clear skies this morning, the same clear skies (along with the breeze out of the south and southwest) gave us a pretty mild afternoon. Highs topped out in the lower 60s across the area. This blog update will mainly focus on our upcoming rain chances, but let’s talk about tonight and Tuesday first. Even though some clouds will work in from the southwest overnight, we go into tonight quiet on the radar below…

We’ll start Tuesday morning with partly cloudy skies and we’ll go back and forth between partly to mostly sunny skies for Tuesday with highs topping out in the lower 60s…

cloudstuesday

Clouds increase by late Tuesday night and early Wednesday morning as our next system starts working in from the north…

wednesdaysystem

We’re looking at plenty of cloudy skies for Wednesday with just a slight chance for a few showers. It doesn’t look to widespread, according to our Future Track below. So, Wednesday isn’t looking like a washout by any means…

wednesdayrainchances

The rain chances really pick up going into Thanksgiving morning and continuing throughout the day. There could even be some t-storms around with some heavy rain throughout Thursday with cloudy skies likely…

thanksgivingrain

The front pushes through on Friday, but we’ll still be warm enough to deal with rain on the back side of the front. Even though it will be rain (the way things look right now), it’ll be much cooler with highs only in the middle to upper 40s on Friday…

fridayrain

We’ll keep temperatures cool and rain chances in the forecast as we go into Saturday as another low develops south of us and heads to the east…

saturdayrain

Once we get past Saturday, we’ll start drying out as we go into Sunday and early next week. If the rain chances play out just as we’re expecting, we could see quite a bit of rain between Wednesday and this coming Saturday. Have a look at what the 18Z GFS is expecting as far as total rain amounts by Sunday morning…

rainamountsafterholiday

I wouldn’t get too bogged down on this being exactly right since the amounts will vary depending on where the heavy rain sets up over the coming days. This is confident in the idea, though, that we’ll deal with plenty of rain chances through much of the Thanksgiving holiday and this weekend.

For a breakdown on Doug’s winter forecast go to headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

November 30th-December 5th:

A cold first half of the week with some wintry weather chances on Monday and Tuesday.  This all depends on the track of some weak waves.  Mild temperatures return with rain chances on Thursday and Friday.

December 6th-12th:

Another cold start to the week with a slight chance for snow on Monday.  Mild temperatures will return for the second half of the week.  We will see rain chances for the weekend.

December 13th-19th:

Mild with rain chances to start the week.  As colder air works in we could see rain or snow by the middle of the week.  Cool temperatures for the second half of the week with a second system and rain or snow chances by the weekend.

When I say hot:  90+

When I say warm:  75-89

When I say mild:  60-74

Chilly:  50-60

Cool:  40-50

Cold:  40 and below

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