Late Saturday/Early Sunday AM December 27th Update

Good Saturday night/early Sunday morning, everyone. Hopefully, everyone managed to stay dry today because it was all about the rain and t-storms. There were a few severe t-storms and a few quick tornado warnings but nothing bad came from those storms. For the rest of the night, we continue with rain on the radar below…

No matter where you were in the Four State region, there was at least SOMETHING to talk about as far as weather goes. Just look at all the watches and warnings we had on the map below going into the overnight…

somuchgoingon

It looks overwhelming but it’s all due to our storm system that stretches from the southwestern U.S. up to the Great Lakes…

setup

The low southeast of El Paso will be the low that will start bringing in the colder air for Sunday and Monday. For most of Sunday, most spots will still be warm enough to deal with just rain. Some spots out west (mainly Iola, Chanute and Independence west) will have some sleet start to mix in with the rain as we stay in the 30s Sunday afternoon…

switchsunday

We continue with the rain/sleet mix going into Sunday night and early Monday morning. Then, the low really drags the cold air in as the moisture sticks around. During Monday morning, the colder air will switch us over to snow as the low works over the area. The low shifts rapidly to our northeast going into Monday night and that’s when we’ll see things calm down for the rest of the week…

monday

As far as additional rain amounts, let’s go with 3 to 5 inches on the Kansas side and approaching 5 to 7 inches along a line from Nowata to Parsons, Girard and Nevada southeast…

rainamounts

As far as expected ice accumulations, let’s keep any measurable amounts around a quarter of an inch or less from Iola, Chanute, Neodesha and Sedan westward…

ice

There have been minor changes to the expected snow amounts going into Monday, but the main story continues to be the brunt of the snow will be mainly northwest of Pittsburg and Joplin. Have a look below…

snow

Let’s say Bartlesville, Chetopa, Columbus, Joplin, Pittsburg, to Nevada southeast around half an inch to 1″ of snow. Around Independence, Parsons, Girard to Rich Hill, 1 to 3 inches are expected. From Uniontown to Chanute, Fredonia and Howard points northwest, 3 to 5″. After we get this system out of here, we’re dry Tuesday and into New Year’s Day. Highs in the middle 30s for Tuesday and Wednesday with morning lows in the 20s. We start in the upper teens for both New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day with expected highs right around 30°.

Don’t forget that if you want the latest on the long-range forecast and Doug’s pattern, you can always head over to headypattern.com and see for yourself.

Have a good night and a great Sunday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

Next Week: After our system leaves Monday, cold temperatures stick around through the week with slight chances for rain and snow by the weekend.

Jan 3rd-9th:

Cold with chances for rain and snow on Sunday and Monday.  Staying cool through most of the week again we will see another system working in with rain and snow chances on Wednesday and Thursday.

Jan 10th-16th:

Mild temperatures finally work in with some rain chances on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.  Cooling down for the weekend with rain or snow chances on Saturday.

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