Late Sunday Evening February 21st Update – Our next system is looking interesting…

Good Sunday evening, everyone. After we were spoiled with highs in the upper 70s yesterday, it was a bit cooler for our Sunday. We actually started with some scattered rain and a few t-storms before it moved out by sunrise this morning. We had morning highs in the lower to middle 60s before we went back into the 40s by sunrise. We managed a nice day with temperatures back into the lower 60s for most of us. It will be chilly tonight with quiet skies and nothing on the radar below…

After we start near 35° Monday morning, we keep skies partly sunny and the wind light out of the northeast. That will mean a chilly afternoon with highs around 53°…

monday

We’re quiet for Monday thanks to high pressure off to our north. But, we need to watch the system back to our southwest. You can see that spelled out on the surface map below…

setup

We go mostly cloudy Monday night and won’t see rain chances work in until Tuesday morning. Once rain chances get here, that and the cloud cover will only mean highs going into the middle to upper 40s Tuesday afternoon…

raintuesday

Then it’s Tuesday evening and Wednesday morning where this system starts to get interesting. The system will strengthen as it passes by the area to our south. The models are confident on the timing and placement of the system. The big question is when will it start to strengthen and how strong can it get before it moves out? That will determine if we see any snow on the backside of this system. One model wants nothing for us while others want quite a bit of snow for a portion of our area. While we can’t specify amounts with 100% certainty yet, we can say that we’ll have snow chances Tuesday night and into early Wednesday morning…

snowbackside

 

If we have snow develop over the area, I think the best chances for any accumulating snow will be from U.S. 69 from the KS & OK side over to southwest MO. Just keep checking back in with us as we’ll certainly be fine-tuning this forecast as we go through the next few days.

After this system is out of here, we’ll clear things out and keep things quiet Thursday into next weekend. If we stick with Doug’s pattern, we’ll have another system we’ll watch as we go into next Sunday.

Remember, for Doug’s long range forecast and the latest on the Heady Pattern, just head over to headypattern.com.

Have a good night and a great Monday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

Feb 28th-March 5th:  Rain or snow chances to start the week.  Stay cool to cold the rest of the week and mainly dry.  Temperatures will moderate over the weekend with rain chances returning.

March 6th-12th:  Rain and snow chances the first half of the week with two systems working through.  Cooler the second half of the week with additional rain and snow chances on Friday and Saturday.

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