Monday Evening February 22nd Update – Here comes our next system…

Good Monday evening, everyone. I’m back with the blog update tonight at Doug’s request. We kept things quiet today but definitely cooler with highs back into the middle 50s. That’s actually closer to where we should be for this time of the year with average highs back in the lower 50s. We were quiet today, but the cloud cover is back on the increase as we go through the rest of the night. Our next system will bring in rain overnight, so expect rain on the radar below as we go into Tuesday morning…

Even though our main system tracks south of us, it’ll be strong enough to have rain chances work in overnight and by the time we head to work and school Tuesday morning…

hrrr_ref_frzn_scus_9

We’ll see on and off rain showers throughout the morning and into the afternoon. Couple that with mostly cloudy skies, we’ll only see afternoon highs top out in the middle 40s across the area…

tuesdaytemps

As this system really gains steam during the day on Tuesday, it will start pulling in colder air on the back side. As that happens, this will start to transition to a rain/snow mix and then eventually to snow. The timeline for the rain/snow mix could start as early as late Tuesday afternoon with everything switching to snow Tuesday night…

namconus_ref_frzn_scus_12

As the system switches things over to snow as we get on the back side, it’ll happen as it starts to exit the area. That will limit how much snow we’ll see across the area. So far, the best chance for any accumulating snow will be mainly in southwest Missouri and northwest Arkansas. If you want a better shot of accumulating snow, the best bet will be from Monett, Barry County, Benton County in Arkansas and points east from there…

gfs_asnow_scus_9

After this system is out of here, we’ll clear things out and keep things quiet Thursday into next weekend. It will be a cooler with highs bouncing between the 30s and 40s through Friday. So far, Saturday and Sunday should be a bit warmer with highs going back into the 60s. If we stick with Doug’s pattern, we’ll have another system giving us rain chances as we go into Sunday.

Remember, for Doug’s long range forecast and the latest on the Heady Pattern, just head over to headypattern.com.

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

Feb 28th-March 5th:  Rain chances to start the week.  Staying cool to cold the rest of the week and mainly dry.  Temperatures will moderate over the weekend with rain chances returning.

March 6th-12th:  Rain and snow chances the first half of the week with two systems working through.  Cooler the second half of the week with additional rain and snow chances on Friday and Saturday.

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