Saturday Evening February 27th Update – Let’s keep it mild to wrap the weekend up…

Good Saturday evening, everyone. We’ve made it to the final weekend of the month of February, but it sure didn’t feel like it this afternoon! It was cold to start the morning out with lows in the 30s, but the strong south wind certainly warmed us up into the lower to middle 70s this afternoon. Combine the south wind with the quiet skies and quiet radar below, it won’t get so chilly tonight…

Even though we’re quiet for the night, our next cold front will be working through during the day on Sunday. You can see that next front on the setup map below, especially the cold front stretching from the Dakotas back through the Rockies…

setup

Ahead of the front, the southerly wind will keep at it and keep us from getting too chilly by sunrise. I expect us to start in the lower 50s Sunday morning before the wind starts to warm us up. The cold front will be working in from northwest to southeast during the day. As it does, it’ll still be windy but the wind will shift out of the northwest in the afternoon. A little cooler as a result of that, but still mild with highs topping out around 67°…

sundaypm

This front is struggling with moisture and it will continue to do so as it pushes through. The front will be strong enough for partly sunny skies but I can’t rule out a stray shower during the afternoon. That rain chance, though, will be the exception instead of the rule. We’ll mainly stay dry for Sunday. Monday is looking quiet with highs back into the middle to upper 60s before another system works in late Monday night and through Tuesday. That system looks like it’ll give us a better shot of widespread rain chances. Have a glance at Tuesday below…

tuesdayrain

That high of 52° will be a midnight high of 52° before the rain chances really pick up and some colder air works in. As of this blog update, we’ll continue to fall through the 40s during the day on Tuesday. That’s warm enough for rain for most of us. There is a model or two hinting at some colder air near Nevada and especially near the Kansas City metro that could temporarily switch to a mix of rain and snow. We’ll keep an eye on this system over the next few days. Beyond Tuesday, temperatures will bounce between the 40s and the 60s Wednesday through the start of next weekend. Another shot of rain will move in Thursday and into Friday morning.  Remember that if you want the latest long range forecast and all of the details on the Heady Pattern, Doug has you covered on headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Sunday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

March 6th-12th:  A mild start to the week with rain chances Tuesday through Thursday.  There is a slight chances we could see snow mixing in on Thursday.  Cooler and dry for the rest of the week.

March 13th-19th:  Cool with showers for the beginning of the week.  The second half of the week will be mild with thunderstorms working in for the weekend.  Some of these storms could be strong to severe.

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