Thursday Morning Blog: A few rain showers, but bigger storms to come

Good Thursday morning!  I hope your week is going great so far.  Mine hasn’t been to bad so far.  I figured I would get a blog in real quickly as I am getting some work done.  So far I feel pretty good the past day as I am doing a new clinical trial for my migraines.  This has been taking a lot of time lately but I will take advantage and try to get stuff done around the house today.

We do have some scattered showers which are passing through the area that will work out during the morning hours.  Take a look at the radar below.

This fast moving storm system will quickly push out and we will see a return to sunshine with temperatures not bad today.  They will be a little cooler than yesterday but still not bad.

Thursday

Temperatures look great heading into the weekend.  We will bounce right back into the 60s and this is the third consecutive weekend that will bring us great temperatures.  Of course winter (what winter right?) is wrapping up as spring is just a few weeks away.  Now with spring heading our direction I am going to officially say severe weather season is here.  If we don’t have anymore snow, Joplin will set a new record for the lowest snowfall in a winter season.  Since records began in the late 40s, Joplin’s lowest snowfall in a season is 2.5″.  Guess what?  We are sitting at 2″ — and barely at 2″.  This means if we don’t have anymore snow we have a new record.  Now, if you know me this is the worst record in the world to set.  This is how I look at it: I PROBABLY have to wait 9 months for a good shot at snow in the area.  Unless, maybe, somehow, with a glimmer of hope, something comes together and we get a big snow.  Ok, not likely but I can dream.  So on to severe weather season.  Lets jump to next week as we will have showers and thunderstorms from Monday through Wednesday.  Let me show you Tuesday.

Tuesday 500

You can see this huge system that is digging across the SW US.  This is going to bring a lot of moisture into the central plains.  This is the same set up we had 2 cycles ago in the Heady Pattern.  It is very similar to two cycles ago because the Jet Stream was at a closer strength than it was just one cycle ago.  So lets go back about 100 days (49.5 day cycle) to November 29th.

November 29th

We had this same massive system, it was a little more cut-off but the same system.  So we can expect thunderstorm chances each day.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  We need to watch how this system comes together.  Of course for more details on the Heady Pattern, upcoming systems and my long range forecast, go to headypattern.com

Doug

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

Next Week:  Showers and thunderstorms with mild temperatures through Thursday.  Mild and dry on Friday and Saturday.

March 13th-19th:  Mild with slight chances for rain on Sunday and Monday.  Another system with showers on Wednesday.  Temperatures will be up and down through the week but not a bad week. Warming up toward the weekend.

March 20th-26th:  Warm with thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  Another system works in on Wednesday with additional strong to severe storms.  The rest of the week will be cool and dry.

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