Monday Evening Pi Day 2016 Update – Dry, Windy and Mild for Tuesday

Good Monday evening, everyone. Nick here in for Doug tonight. Needless to say, it’s Pi Day and the math nerd inside me still can’t recall from memory any digits of Pi after 3.1415. There are some people out there that know many more digits to the value, so more power to you. LOL. I’ll just stick to weather. Today turned out to be nice and a bit warm! We had highs topping out in the middle to upper 70s all across the area today. Those are numbers we usually see in the middle of May instead of the middle of March. We’re quiet again tonight with any late rain on the radar below staying north of us…

We’ll be mild again for Tuesday, but our next system could bring a higher risk for wildfires across the area. That’s why we have fire weather watches and red flag warnings out for most of our area from noon to 7 PM for Tuesday…

redflag

The increased fire risk is all due to our next front that’ll work in from the west. You can see the front below at it’s position close to 11 PM Monday night…

setup

Even as the wind on the backside of the front switches from the west late in the morning and into the afternoon, it’ll still be a mild day with highs topping out near 71°…

tuesday

This front will pretty much pass through as a dry front with some cloud cover, but it won’t bring any rain chances here. The increased fire danger will be caused by our setup behind the front. With a west wind during the afternoon at 15-25 mph and gusts near 35 mph…

windgusts

Couple that with expected low humidity values for Tuesday afternoon…

humidity

It’s no wonder why we have to be careful for Tuesday. If you can hold off on any & all outdoor burning Tuesday, that would be your best option. We’ll trend cooler Wednesday and Thursday as we stay quiet. We’re still watching another system by this weekend, but the rain/snow chances seem to be dropping compared to what I saw on Sunday. The GFS still wants to keep some rain chances close by for Friday and Saturday (maybe a quick shot of a few snow flakes Saturday morning)…

weekendsystem

We’ll see how those chances for rain/snow hold up as we go through the next several days. For all of the details on the long range forecast through the spring and what is to come, Doug has you covered over on headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

March 20th-26th:  Warm with thunderstorm chances to start the week.  Some of these could be on the strong to severe side.  Mild temperatures with showers sticking around into the middle of the week.  Cooling down and dry for the second half of the week.

March 27th- April 2nd:  Mainly a mild week with thunderstorms chances on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

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