Sunday Evening March 20th Update – Chilly to start the spring season…

Good Sunday evening, everyone. You could consider lows in the 20s and highs near 50° an interesting way to start the spring season around here. At least any decent chances of rain and snow stayed away from us throughout the day. We have to go through another cold night and a cold start Monday morning before we see a good warm up work in. With quiet skies tonight, we won’t see anything popping up on the radar below…

The setup below from Sunday night is certainly setting us up for a warm up to start the new work/school week. Note the high pressure off to our southwest and our next front out west…

setup

As the high shifts farther south, it strengthens up a bit. The frontal system out west also strengthens going into Monday. Combine those two, a good south wind tomorrow will mean it’ll feel like spring for the next few days…

mondaysetup

We will be warmer Monday afternoon, but we just need to get past another cold start Monday morning. After we start near 29°, we’ll go into the lower 60s by Monday afternoon. The wind out of the south will be up there, though. We could see gusts near 30 mph during the day…

monday

Going into Tuesday, we’ll see the good south wind ahead of the front with sustained wind speeds between 20 and 30 mph. That’s not even counting the gusts that could top out near 45 mph. That wind, though, will continue to bring in warmer air. We should easily go into the 70s Tuesday afternoon…

tuesday

We’re ahead of the front for most of Wednesday and that means another day with highs going back into the 70s. As the front works in Wednesday, though, that will be our next chance for rain and t-storms. Depending on our setup going into late Wednesday, there could be some strong (possibly severe) t-storms ahead of the cold front…

wednesdaysetup

For now, the severe threat for Wednesday still looks low. However, Doug and I will keep our eyes on the setup over the next few days. After the system pushes through, we drop back into the 50s for Thursday and Good Friday. We’re dry to start the Easter holiday weekend, but we’ll watch another system that could sneak in Saturday. If that pans out, we’ll have some rain chances Saturday and on Easter Sunday.

If you’re curious as to how we look going into the next several weeks, Doug has you covered with the long-range forecast and the latest on his pattern over at headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Monday!

Doug

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

March 28th- April 2nd:  After rain chances on Sunday, mild temperatures return for the middle of the week with thunderstorm chances on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

April 3rd-10th:  Warm with thunderstorms that could be strong to severe to start the week.  Temperatures will cool down a bit for the middle of the week with showers sticking around through the middle of the week.  Chances for thunderstorms return for the weekend.

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