Saturday Evening April 16th Update – Rain & T-Storms on the Way

Good Saturday evening, everyone. Even though we had on and off cloud cover today, it was dry and mild all across the area. After starting in the upper 50s, most spots rebounded into the lower to middle 70s for Saturday afternoon. Even though we stay cloudy and quiet for the rest of the night, you can’t help but notice the rain and t-storms off to the west on the radar below…

Those t-storms don’t make it here tonight, but it’s all a part of our next system sitting out to the west. You can see the system stretched out on the surface map below…

setup

The system out west has been really stubborn and refusing to move along and that’s because of high pressure sitting off to our east. It’s a potent high pressure system that will eventually drift to the east coast and start to break down a bit. As that happens, our chances for rain and t-storms will start to pick up on Sunday. The morning starts quiet with lows in the upper 50s to near 60° under mostly cloudy skies. Anytime after 2 – 4 PM, that’s when the KS and OK side will see t-storm chances pick up. If you’re along and east of U.S. 69, I think you’ll get through the day dry. Otherwise, we’re mostly cloudy Sunday with highs around 75°. If you see good peaks of the sun tomorrow with that southeast breeze, that could bump you near 76° or 77° Sunday afternoon…

sunday

When this system starts to work in late Sunday, it will stick around for a little while. You can see the system keeping rain and t-storms in here for Monday…

monday

This will continue through Thursday when finally the system will push off to the east. The good news with this system is that the severe threat for us looks pretty low. As long as that stays low, we’ll just use this system to catch up on rain chances. We could certainly use the rain as we’re behind for the year by at least 5 inches. We dry out and warm up Friday and Saturday before another storm system works in by that following Sunday, April 24th.  Remember you can always find Doug’s in-depth thoughts on the Heady Pattern and his long range forecast with severe weather forecasts over at headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Sunday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

Remember that you can sign up for WeatherCall by clicking the WeatherCall link at the top of the page. WeatherCall, in our opinion, is the best tool on the market to keep you safe during severe weather.

Also we have our free WEATHER APP that lets you access our forecast, blog, radar and weather alerts. I think it’s a must if you own an Apple or Android phone.

LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

April 24th-30th: A warming trend through the week with two storm system working through during the week.  This will give us thunderstorm chances through the week.  The best chances for strong to severe storms will be Wednesday through Friday.

May 1st-7th:  Warming trend through the middle of the week.  thunderstorms chances on Tuesday and Wednesday that could be strong to severe.  Cool temperatures work in on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

Share!

    This entry was posted in Blog. Bookmark the permalink.