Late Saturday PM April 23rd Update – Plenty of T-Storm Chances This Upcoming Week

Good late Saturday evening, everyone. Hopefully you all had a chance to get out and enjoy the day. After we started chilly, the afternoon was warm and nice with highs near 80°. Most of Sunday looks OK until we head into Sunday night. For the rest of the night and most of Sunday, any rain or t-storms on the radar below stays away…

Our t-storm chances will pick up as our next cold front out west edges closer. Here’s where the front was late Saturday night…

setup

Before it starts to influence our setup, we’re in good shape for most of Sunday. We’ll be mostly clear and starting near 59° in the morning. Partly to mostly sunny skies will be the rule for most of the day with highs topping out near 80°…

sunday

Once we get past 6 or 7 PM Sunday, that’s when we’ll keep an eye on t-storms out west. They’ll be developing in central Kansas for most of the day, but some of the storms will try to make a run for the area late Sunday night and into early Monday morning…

sundaynight

By the time the storms get here, though, they should be on the weakening trend. We’ll still keep an eye on them as there is a low severe threat out in our western counties on the Kansas side. The threat is detailed below. If any storms stay severe by the time they work into our area, we should mainly be dealing with wind and hail as the main threats…

severethreat

We could see a few spotty t-storms during the day on Monday but we should be partly sunny and warm again by Monday afternoon. Our next chance for t-storms and severe weather will come on Tuesday and Wednesday. We’ll keep an eye on the setup for Tuesday since we do have a low to elevated severe threat to watch for…

tuesdaythreat

For Tuesday’s t-storms, we should have all modes of severe weather possible. We’ll have to watch for storms capable of large hail, high wind and possibly some tornadoes. For now, I think the bigger tornado threat stays just west of us, but we’ll keep watching the setup as we go through the next few days. After Wednesday, we’ll get a break on Thursday before more t-storm chances work in for the upcoming weekend.

Have a good night and a great Sunday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES

May 1st-7th:  A mild and dry start to the week with temperatures warming up by the middle of the week.  Our next system will work in on Wednesday and Thursday with another severe threat.  Temperatures cool back down a bit toward the weekend.

May 8th-14th:  Warm with a slight chance for thunderstorms on Sunday.  Warm temperatures continue through most of the week with good chances for thunderstorms Wednesday through Saturday.  We should have good chances for severe weather through the period.

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