Good early Sunday morning, everyone. We enjoyed a week of quiet weather around here when we usually have an event or two to kick off the month of May. It was certainly warm yesterday with highs into the lower to middle 80s. We keep things quiet tonight even though there’s rain to be had on the radar below…
The thunderstorms that were out to the west and north yesterday were spawned by our next system that will be working into the area starting today. For the start of Mother’s Day, we’re quiet with partly to mostly sunny skies by sunrise…
We start quiet this morning and we start mild this morning with lows near 60°. I wouldn’t be surprised if there were a few showers or a few t-storms late this morning and into the early afternoon. I would say between 10 AM and 1 PM. Overall, we should get through the day mostly on the dry side as we warm up near 78° for high temperatures. Our better shot for t-storms will come in as we go into Sunday evening. You can see on the Future Track below that those t-storms will initially start north and west of the area….
The t-storms that fire up west and north of us by 5 or 6 PM will have a severe threat. By the time any of them move our way by 7 or 8 PM, I think the severe threat will be fairly low. With that said, let’s keep an eye on those storms because the Future Track below does want some of our areas to get into some of the action by 10 PM tonight…
So far, I think Monday morning starts partly to mostly cloudy with maybe a few t-storms around by the start of the morning drive. Depending on what’s going on weather-wise Monday morning, that could influence how things go for Monday afternoon. With the way things look on Monday, we’ll have another shot for t-storms. I also think that Monday could bring a severe threat back into the area. A good portion of Monday looks good, but we’ll watch for t-storms to develop as we go into late Monday afternoon and into Monday night…
As far as the severe threat for Monday, it’s a low severe threat from how things look early this morning. I wouldn’t be surprised if it gets bumped to an elevated threat later today or as we go into Monday, but we’ll definitely be watching for severe t-storms on Monday. I think our best time for any severe weather here on Monday is between 4 PM and midnight going into Tuesday. The main threats will be large hail and high wind…
Beyond Monday, we should be dry and warm on Tuesday. We’ll have t-storm chances back in here on Wednesday and those could be strong to severe. After we get another break in the action Thursday, we’ll have another system bring t-storms back in for Friday and going into Saturday.
Remember for all of Doug’s long range forecasts and latest on severe weather events, he has you covered over on headypattern.com
Have a good Siunday and a great Mother’s Day, everyone!
LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:
Here is your 7-day forecast:
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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)
SLIGHT CHANCES: MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS.
IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT: THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US MUCH BETTER PRECIPITATION CHANCES
May 15th-21st: Warm with thunderstorm chances on Sunday that could be severe. Nice mild temperatures settle in through the middle of the week. Warming up with thunderstorms for Friday and Saturday that could be severe.
May 22nd-28th: Warm through the first half of the week with thunderstorms on Tuesday and Wednesday. Mild temperatures the second half of the week.
May 29th-June4th: Mild temperatures with very slight chances for storms to start the week. Warm the rest of the week with better chances for storms on Thursday.