Sunday Evening June 5th Update – Warm Start to an Eventually Hot Week

Good Sunday evening, everyone. Hopefully, everyone had a great weekend and got a chance to enjoy some time outside. It didn’t get too warm for us which isn’t a bad way to go through our first full weekend of the month of June. Monday isn’t looking bad, but after we encounter some slight t-storm chances, we’ll heat up by the end of the week. As of Sunday night, no rain on the radar below…

While high pressure on the surface map below keeps our skies quiet for tonight and most of Monday, note the cold front off to our north. That will be stopping by for Monday night and early Tuesday morning…

setup

That front will give us our only shot for t-storms for the week and those chances don’t even look very good. Before any sort of rain and t-storm chances work in here, we’re quiet for most of the day. Mostly sunny skies and a light westerly breeze will allow highs to top out in the middle to upper 80s across the region…

mondaypm

Then, the front to the north start pushing into our northern counties by Monday evening. The t-storm chances don’t look very good, but I expect 20% coverage of any t-storms that can develop along the front. Most spots will likely end up dry as the front passes through…

eveningstorms

After we get rid of any t-storm chances with that front by early Tuesday morning, we’ll temporarily cool down for Tuesday afternoon. It’ll still be warm with highs in the upper 70s to near 80°. The main story for the rest of the week will be temperatures heating up thanks to an upper level ridge that will develop and work in. Have a look at the map below and you can see how the jet stream will set up north by the latter part of the week…

GFSUS_500_avort_123

That will lead to middle to upper 80s for highs on Wednesday and Thursday. Based on how things look, I expect highs to pretty much be near 90° once the upcoming weekend gets here. I expect the ridge to start breaking down a bit by Sunday and that could allow some t-storm chances to work back in. The upcoming weekend looks good overall before a couple waves brings in some t-storm chances for a good portion of next week.

Don’t forget that Doug has you covered on the long-range forecast and his latest thoughts on the pattern over at headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Monday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

Next Week: Staying warm to hot with a couple waves working through with scattered afternoon thunderstorms from Sunday through Thursday.

June 19th-25th:  A hot start to the week with a few thunderstorms by Tuesday that will cool us down for the middle of the week.  The rest of the week should be dry with great temperatures.

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