Midday Thursday Blog: Heat with thunderstorms

Good Thursday afternoon!  I hope you are having a great week so far.  Mine has been very busy but good.  I am trying to get some stuff done around the house today before heading into work.  I actually need to mow the weeds before but I am not sure if I want to even ride and mow in the heat.  We should get scattered thunderstorms a little later this afternoon.  We could use it.  We haven’t had a lot of rain over the past couple of weeks and we are starting to dry out a bit.

Today is going to be our 10th straight day that we have had 90 plus degree heat.  Plus, 12 out of the past 14 days have been at or above 90 degrees.  Take a look at the radar below.

Already, scattered thunderstorms have been going out across central KS.  As a cold front dips south this afternoon, scattered thunderstorms will pop-up along the front.

4pm precip

As the front sags south, mainly after 3pm we will have scattered thunderstorms.  Some of these could be strong and possibly a few severe.  The best chance for strong to severe will be in SE KS with the main threat being hail and wind.  These will continue through the evening hours.  Lets move to about 7pm.

8pm precip

I put a circle around the area that I think has the best chance to be strong and low grade severe.  We will continue to have scattered storms through the evening and into the overnight hours.  Lets move to about midnight.

1 am precip

Still even at this time some scattered thunderstorms sticking around but weakening.  We will have some scattered storms sticking around on Friday morning but our front lifts back north by Friday afternoon.  This means the best chances for thunderstorms will lift north by the afternoon hours.

Friday PM

Of course the heat and the humidity stick around for the weekend.  You can always get my long range pattern and thoughts for the summer on headypattern.com I will keep you updated.

Doug

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

Next Week:  Hot the first half of the week with scattered thunderstorms through the middle of the week.  Temperatures drop a little bit with mainly dry conditions heading into the holiday weekend.

July 3rd-9th:  A warm start to the week with the heat kicking back in by the middle of the week.  Also chances for thunderstorms return for the second half of the week.

July 10th-16th:  The heat returns and mainly dry through the week.

July 17th-23rd:  The first half of the week will by hot and mainly dry.  Temperatures will drop into the warm category for the second half of the week with scattered thunderstorms from Wednesday through Saturday.

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