Early Sunday AM July 3rd Update – T-Storm Chances Stick Around

Good early Sunday morning, everyone. Hopefully, you’re making the most of the holiday weekend despite the t-storm chances we had on our Saturday. We’re going to continue with the t-storm chances to start our Sunday morning out. In fact, we’ve got a good band of rain and t-storms pushing in from the west on the radar below early this morning…

We had t-storms for parts of the area yesterday and we’re expecting more t-storms throughout the day. We can credit that to the stationary front that has been around for pretty much all of last week. It’s still draped across our area…

namussfc03wbg

With that in place, plan on rain and t-storms to start our Sunday out. Otherwise, skies will be mostly cloudy and lows will start near 73°…

sundayam

Rain and t-storms will be around for a good portion of the morning before we get a break in the action by noon today. After we see some sunshine and get afternoon highs close to 86°, we’ll watch for additional t-storms to develop…

sundaypm

If the atmosphere later this afternoon can get unstable enough, we’ll have to contend with a low severe threat with the afternoon and evening round of t-storms. The graphic below spells out how I expect the afternoon and evening round of t-storms to unfold. The best timing for severe t-storms today will be between 2 PM and 10 PM. Should we see severe t-storms, the main threats will be high wind and large hail. If the storms move slowly or if we get some storms to redevelop over the same areas, we can’t rule out some flash flooding due to heavy rain…

severesetup

Thankfully, we do trend dry as we go through the upcoming 4th of July holiday. We’ll start the morning with t-storms and lows near 68°. Going throughout the day on Monday, we get the t-storm chances out of here as afternoon highs top out around 84°. We keep things quiet and partly cloudy to mostly clear for Monday night with temperatures in the middle 70s by 10 PM…

4thofjuly

For the rest of the week, we keep things dry overall. However, the summer heat will waste no time working back in. Expect highs in the middle to upper 90s Tuesday through Friday before we try to cool back a little thanks to some t-storm chances by this coming Saturday.

You can always get Doug’s long range pattern and thoughts for the summer on headypattern.com.

Have a great Sunday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

Remember that you can sign up for WeatherCall by clicking the WeatherCall link at the top of the page. WeatherCall, in our opinion, is the best tool on the market to keep you safe during severe weather.

Also we have our free WEATHER APP that lets you access our forecast, blog, radar and weather alerts. I think it’s a must if you own an Apple or Android phone.

LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

July 10th-16th:  The heat returns and mainly dry through the week.

July 17th-23rd:  The first half of the week will by hot and mainly dry.  Temperatures will drop into the warm category for the second half of the week with scattered thunderstorms from Wednesday through Saturday.

Share!

    This entry was posted in Blog. Bookmark the permalink.