Early Monday AM July 18th Update – Starting the Work Week Hot

Good early Monday morning, everyone. Another July weekend has come and gone, but we enjoyed a quiet weekend after we had to deal with rain and t-storms last week. Not much has changed since the last blog update in terms our weather setup this week. We’ll be starting the day quiet and dry on the radar below…

The surface map from 10 PM last night still applies to how we’re starting our Monday off. Our front that gave us our t-storm chances last week is stuck to the north of us and that’s where it will stay for the week…

setup

We’re keeping things quiet for today, but we’ll be starting off pretty mild. By the time you head to work, temperatures will be in the middle 70s. Skies stay mostly sunny all day long with the wind staying light out of the south at 5-10 mph. With that setup, expect highs to top out around 94 in Joplin and the lower to middle 90s for the rest of the area…

mondayhighs

Even though we keep things quiet overall this week, there is a weak disturbance that’ll pass by the area on Tuesday. It may give us a little more cloud cover and maybe a spot t-storm or two. You can see how the GFS below at 7 PM Tuesday wants to back that idea up…

tuesday

Even with a few t-storms on Tuesday (if they can develop), it’ll still be a hot day with afternoon highs in the lower 90s. The upper-level setup just screams classic summer for most of this week. You can see on the 500 mb map below that we’ll have a good upper-level ridge pretty much in place for this week…

GFSUS_500_avort_117

From Wednesday on into next weekend, highs should easily climb into the middle and upper 90s. Honestly, I wouldn’t be surprised if we got near 100° by Saturday and Sunday of the upcoming weekend. Whether or not we’ll hit 100° within the next 7 days, the humidity that will be around will make it feel like we’re in triple-digit heat. With that in mind, be sure you take it easy for any and all outdoor plans that you have this coming week.

Don’t forget that Doug has you covered with his latest thoughts on the pattern and the long-range forecast. You can get all of that over on headypattern.com

Have a great Monday, everyone!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

July 24th-30th:  The first half of the week will be warm with scattered thunderstorms.  The second half of the week will be hot and dry.

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