Late Sunday PM October 2nd Update – Starting the Work and School Week Off Quiet…

Good Sunday evening to you all! Our Sunday turned out to be a pretty nice one. After a little fog this morning, we had partly to mostly sunny skies all day long with a light breeze. It was a little warmer than expected with highs near 80°, but it still felt nice for any and all outdoor plans. We’ll kick off the new work/school week on a quiet note with the radar below staying quiet for tonight and Monday…

Checking on the surface map below, we have an upper level low pushing through the northwestern United States. That will allow our next front out west to start pushing to the east. Eventually, it will stop by here, but not for our Monday…

setup

We shouldn’t have to deal with any fog issues to start our Monday morning out, but it will be another chilly start. Overnight lows with a light breeze and mostly clear skies should drop us back into the middle 50s…

mondayam

After starting in the middle 50s in the morning, a light south breeze and mostly sunny skies will allow highs to pop back into the lower 80s…

mondaypm

On Tuesday, that’s when the cold front out west will start to push into western and central Kansas. We start quiet Tuesday morning, and most spots should be just partly sunny and warm for Tuesday afternoon. I can’t rule out a few spot t-storms in our western counties late in the afternoon, but most spots should stay dry for most of the day. It won’t be until Tuesday night that good t-storm will work in…

tuesday

Regarding Tuesday’s t-storm chances, the better chance for strong to severe t-storms should stay just west of us near Wichita. Some of our SE KS counties west of Parsons and Chanute could see a few low-end severe t-storms Tuesday night, but we should mainly deal with strong t-storms Tuesday night. We’ll also watch for strong (maybe severe) t-storms for Wednesday and Thursday as our front will still want to hang around the area. If nothing changes between now and Friday, we should see t-storm chances start clearing out after Friday morning. Hopefully this holds up before Friday Night Football kicks off. Behind the front, we’ll dry things out for the rest of the weekend. We’ll also have highs drop back between the middle 60s and the lower 70s. After a mostly quiet weekend ahead of us, we’ll keep an eye on rain chances trying to work back in early next week.

If you want the latest on the long-range forecast and Doug’s latest thoughts on the pattern, he has you covered over on headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Monday, everyone!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

October 9th-15th:  A mild start to the week with warm temperatures for the beginning of the work week.  Rain chances return Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  Cooler temperatures work back in the rest of the week.

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