Monday Evening October 17th Update – Rain Chances & A Cool Down On The Way

Good Monday evening, everyone. Nick here with the blog update for you all. For those of you that haven’t been keeping track, today marks my 5th year down here in the Four States. Holy cow, I’m still trying to let that sink in! That must mean I’m on the right career path, right? LOL. Before I get too sidetracked over how fast time has flown, let’s talk weather. It was WINDY today. Southerly winds were sustained at 15-30 mph throughout the day with gusts topping out a little over 40 mph. That certainly kept us warm with highs in the upper 80s. The Joplin Regional Airport officially topped out at 87° at 2:46 PM. That didn’t break the record of 88° set back in 1964, but we were warmer than our normal high of 71.

Our weather setup will start changing with the arrival of our next front. As of Monday evening, the front was set up to our northwest across Kansas and Nebraska…

sat_sfc_map

For this evening, that front is far away enough to keep us quiet on the radar below…

We stay quiet overnight with some cloud cover working in. Couple that with the southerly wind that will keep at it, we won’t cool down a whole lot before sunrise Tuesday morning. Expect overnight lows to drop back into the upper 60s…

nammw_sfc_temp_018

The front works in as we go through our Tuesday. It turns out that it doesn’t have a ton of moisture to work with. That being said, there will be enough moisture for skies to turn partly sunny to mostly cloudy with a few showers possible during the day…

tuesdaypm

With the cloud cover, the slight rain chances and a more northerly wind working in, we’ll trend a little cooler for Tuesday afternoon. Afternoon highs should top out mainly in the upper 70s. Joplin should reach a high of 78°…

nammw_sfc_temp_027

Our approaching front will put on the breaks as we go into Wednesday. Not only will that keep skies mostly cloudy, but that will also keep some t-storms chances around for Wednesday…

wednesday

Once the system clears out, fall returns with lows in the 40s Thursday and Friday and afternoon highs in the middle 60s. For the rest of the upcoming weekend, we bounce back into the lower to middle 70s under partly to mostly sunny skies. We start quiet early next week before another system works in after Monday.

Remember that Doug has you covered over on headypattern.com if you’re interested in his latest thoughts on the pattern and how we look over the coming weeks and months.

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

Remember that you can sign up for WeatherCall by clicking the WeatherCall link at the top of the page. WeatherCall, in our opinion, is the best tool on the market to keep you safe during severe weather.

Also we have our free WEATHER APP that lets you access our forecast, blog, radar and weather alerts. I think it’s a must if you own an Apple or Android phone.

LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

October 23rd – October 29th:  A cools tart to the week with a warming trend through the week. Rain chances with our next system from Wednesday through Saturday.

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