Late Friday PM December 9th Update – Watching A Few Systems on the Way…

Good Friday evening, everyone! Nick here once again with the blog update for you tonight. If you’ve been following Doug on Facebook lately, you’ve noticed that he updated his blog earlier today. I tried to remind him that he doesn’t have to work if he’s away from the office, LOL. You can’t blame him, though, because we both love weather whether we’re in the office or not. He’ll get to enjoy some good snow this weekend while he’s away. Actually, his snow chances this weekend and our next chance for rain this weekend will come from the same system! We’ll touch on that system, but we will once again keep things quiet on the radar below for tonight…

With our area of high pressure shifting east of us on the surface map below, that will allow a good south wind to kick in and warm us up a bit for Saturday. Out west, though, we have our next front on the way…

setup

That front will leave us alone for Saturday, though. With mostly cloudy skies and a light south wind tonight, we should only drop back into the middle 20s by Saturday morning. Going through the day, I expect some sunshine by Saturday afternoon. If we get some breaks in the clouds with our south wind at 10-20 mph (gusts near 25 mph), that should be enough to get afternoon highs to about 42°…

saturday

Even though we start Saturday night quiet, we’ll have mostly cloudy skies working back in during the night as that next front works in. We could have rain chances start as early as sunrise Sunday, but the better rain chances will kick in late Sunday morning and into the afternoon. If you’re not a fan of wintry weather, we’ll stay above freezing at the surface and aloft with this system. Highs should go into the middle 40s on Sunday…

sunday

We stay cool and quiet for Monday and Tuesday. I’m expecting partly sunny skies for both days with highs holding in the middle 40s. On Wednesday, that’s when we’ll have to watch another system develop and potentially impact the area. A lot can change between now and Wednesday, so this is how things look as of tonight. I’m expecting early morning highs near 31° on Wednesday and dropping throughout the day. If that holds with some warm air aloft as precipitation begins, it could start as a mix of freezing rain and sleet. As we get colder through the day, that should switch over to snow…

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_scus_21

So, you can see how I’m expecting Wednesday to look down below. Just remember that with most winter systems we see down here, any changes in the temperatures or the track can change the forecast quite a bit. As long as you keep checking back in between now and then, you’ll know what we’re thinking as far as Wednesday is concerned…

wednesday

After that system clears out, we’re quiet and cold for Thursday with lows near 14° and highs only near 26°. If another wave can develop for next Friday, that could give us a shot for some snow showers as we stay cold. For the latest on the long-range forecast and Doug’s latest thoughts on the pattern, he has you covered over on headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Saturday, everyone!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

December 18th-Christmas Eve:  Mild temperatures return this week with rain chances by Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

December 26th-New Years Eve:  A mild start to the week with rain and snow chances on Tuesday and Wednesday.  Cold and dry the rest of the week.

January 1st-8th:  A mild start to the week with slight chances for rain on Monday.  Then cold temperatures work in with slight chances for snow by Saturday.

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