Thursday Evening December 22nd Update – Rain Chances Sneaking Back In

Good Thursday evening, everyone. We kept things quiet and cool today with mostly cloudy skies and afternoon highs in the lower to middle 40s. We may have been dry all day, but that will change as we go into the overnight and into Friday. You can see some activity working in this evening on the radar below…

The thing about the activity on the radar that started this evening… it’s not reaching the ground. We’re still a bit dry close to the surface. Until we can saturate the lower levels of the atmosphere a little more, anything that tries to fall evaporates before it can think about reaching the surface. With a wave kicking in from the west, that will change things a little bit. During the overnight and into Friday morning, we could have a little freezing rain or snow mix in our far northern areas but this should mainly be rain to start the morning out…

fridayamrain

We’re set to have just on and off rain during the day. The future radar from the 3 km NAM below backs that idea up at 1 PM Friday…

fridayafternoonrain

Even though we’ll have rain chances for our Friday and cloudy skies for the day, we should still be able to warm up. After we start in the middle 30s in the morning, we’ll expect afternoon highs to push into the middle to upper 40s…

rapmw_sfc_temp_021

Going into Christmas Eve, we’ll stay mostly cloudy but quiet. It certainly won’t feel like the Christmas holiday with temperatures going into the upper 50s. We’ll certainly be mild as a warm front will sweep through going into Christmas Day…

christmasfront

Even though we should be cloudy on Christmas Day, we should see highs on Sunday around 67°. That’s going to be pretty close to a record high of 71° set back in 1971, not to mention that the last time we had a 67° high on Christmas Day was back in 1960! With the warm up ahead of the approaching dry line/cold front, we’ll have to watch for rain and t-storm chances during Christmas Day. We should start dry in the morning, but look at 3 PM on the future radar below…

christmasday

We’ll have to keep an eye out for some strong (possibly severe) t-storms for Christmas afternoon and evening. The severe threat for now looks pretty low, but we’ll keep an eye on things. Once this system works out, we’ll stay cool and quiet for Monday before another shot for rain works in next Tuesday and Wednesday. Don’t forget that you can get Doug’s long range forecast through the entire winter at headypattern.com

Have a good night and a great Friday!

Nick

LONG RANGE FORECAST IS BELOW BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN:

Here is your 7-day forecast:

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LONG RANGE FORECAST: Based off of the HP(Heady Pattern)

SLIGHT CHANCES:  MEAN IT IS A WEAKER SYSTEM THAT WILL GIVE US SCATTERED SHOWERS OR SNOW SHOWERS. 

IF I DON’T SAY SLIGHT:  THAT MEANS THIS IS A STRONGER SYSTEM

Next Week:  Cool temperatures with rain chances moving in by Wednesday.  As cooler temperatures work in we will have a chances for cold rain or possibly ice on Thursday and Friday. 

January 1st-8th:  Mainly a cool week with slight chances for rain or snow on Sunday.  The rest of the week will be mainly dry until rain chances on Saturday.

January 9th-15th:  A cold start to the week with rain and snow chances by the middle of the week.  Cold and dry the rest of the week.

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