Monday Afternoon June 11th – T-Storm Chances to Keep An Eye On

Good late Monday afternoon, everyone. A new work week has begun and it had to start with another hot & humid day across the area. After starting in the lower to middle 70s this morning, we topped out in the middle 90s for our Monday. Most of the day has been quiet, but the heat & humidity has resulted in a few t-storms in our area on the radar below…

With our next system working in from the west, that will provide us with a better shot for scattered t-storms going into tonight. Any t-storms that fire up in Nebraska and central Kansas will head our way after midnight going into Tuesday morning…

As they push in, they will weaken. With that said, any strong to possibly severe t-storms that could try to work in will primarily bring wind and hail as the main threats. It’s something we’ll watch as we work into Tuesday morning. After any t-storms to start Tuesday morning out, we’re expecting partly sunny skies for the rest of your Tuesday.

The front won’t necessarily push through here going into Tuesday. That, with the anticipated partly sunny skies, should result in another hot and humid day with highs back into the middle 90s.

Don’t forget that Doug has his thoughts on the pattern and your long-range forecast covered right below. Hopefully, there will be some breaks in the heat before the summer months really kick in.

Have a good night and a great Tuesday!

Nick

Here is your 7-day forecast:

Lets check out the Heady Pattern and your long range forecast.

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through July

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:   A warm start to the week with hot temperatures returning for the weekend.  When I say warm, I am talking about 80s.  Thunderstorm chances on Sunday, Friday and Saturday.  Severe weather index:  1’s on Sunday, Friday and Saturday.

June 24th-30th:  A hot week with a few thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday.  Severe weather index:  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on Sunday and Monday.

July 1st-7th:  Hot all week with pop-up storms each day.  Severe weather index:  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s through the period.

July 8th-14th:  Hot through Wednesday, but warm temperatures return for Thursday through Saturday.  A few thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on Wednesday and Thursday.

July 15th-21st:  Hot most of the week with thunderstorms chances on Monday and Tuesday, then Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s the days with thunderstorms.

July 22nd-28th:  Another hot week with pop-up storms on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s thunderstorm days.

Doug

#headypattern

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dheady@koamtv.com

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