Wednesday AM Blog: The heat!!!!!!!!! Will we see relief soon? Long range forecast

Good Wednesday Morning!  I hope your week is going great!  I wanted to give you an update on the boring hot steamy weather. So I decided to do a video tonight.  First off check out our terrible rain stats.

This year:  Just shy of 17″ of rain

Average: 25″

Last year at this time:  32″

We definitely need the rain.  We will have isolated storms but that is about it.  Here is a break down on what to expect.

Not much on the radar now but I do think we will have isolated storms again this afternoon.



Make sure you check out the long range HP (Heady pattern) forecast below.  A lot of very interesting things are right around the corner.


Here is your 7-day forecast:

Let’s check out the Heady Pattern and your long range forecast.

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through July


Next Week:  A hot start to the week with scattered thunderstorms on Monday and Tuesday.  Briefly cooler, well 80s for highs for the middle of the week.  The heat returns toward the weekend with slight chances for thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s on Monday and Tuesday.  Then again on Friday and Saturday.

July 22nd-28th:  Mainly a hot week with highs well into the 90s if not triple digits.  We will have a few afternoon pop-up storms with little severe threat on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s thunderstorm days.

July 29th-August 5th:  Mainly a hot week with highs in the 90s or 100s.  Slight chances for thunderstorms on Saturday the 5th.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale. 1 on Saturday.

August 6th-11th:  A hot start to the week with a storms system with scattered storms on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.  This will bring the 80s back in through the middle of the week and really sticking around into the weekend.  Slight chances for at least random pop-up storms each day.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on Sunday and Monday.

August 12th-18th:  The heat and humidity return with highs into the 90s if not 100s through the week.  Mainly a dry week

August 19th-25th:  A hot first half of the week with warm temperatures the second half of the week.  A few pop-up storms on Tuesday and Wednesday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s on Tuesday and Wednesday.

August 26th-September 1st:  A hot week with pop-up storms on Sunday, Thursday and Friday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on the thundestorm days.




Facebook: Meteorologist Doug Heady

Twitter: @DougHeady

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