Wednesday AM Blog: A few more thunderstorms! Plus your long range forecast

 

Good Wednesday morning!  I hope your week is going great.  I am actually off the rest of the week.  I have to head to KC for my migraine/pain management doctor.  Yes, I am super excited.  However, I will stop and have lunch with mom and head over to my business partners house and still do some long range forecasting business.  Thursday will be do stuff around the house day.  Friday, well I promised Christian (my 9 year old boy) I would take him to white water before school starts.  Then Saturday, we will lake it for a day.  So I will be busy but of course keeping up with everything.  Take a look at the radar below.  Most of the storms are staying south of the area.

We should heat up today into the upper 80s for highs.

I also think we will have hit and miss storms this afternoon.

We will continue to see highs near 90 and dry through Sunday.  However, weak little waves will work through early next week.

Quick Heady Pattern Update:  The new cycle is getting stronger and stronger.  I am super happy that I think I have my model perfected to figure this out.  I have so much I will blog about the new cycle and Heady pattern over the next few weeks.  As for now, to be honest, I want to hit the sack, I have to hit the road in a few short hours.

Long range forecast below.

-Doug

 

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through July

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Most of the week will be hot with temps near 90 degrees.  However, I don’t think the humidity will be to bad which will keep the heat index down.  We will have the hit and miss storms just about each and every day.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale. 1’s each day.

August 19th-25th:  A warm start to the week.  We will heat into the 90s by mid week but back into the 80s by late week.  Hit and miss storms once again on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.  Then again by Friday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s each day.

August 26th-September 1st:    Another hot week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday, then again on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on the thundestorm days.

September 2nd-8th:  Mainly a warm week with mild temperatures briefly mid week.  Thunderstorm chances Sunday through Wednesday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s thunderstorm days.

September 9th- 16th:  A hot start to the week with warm temperatures the second half of the week.  Thunderstorm chances on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. Then again on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s each day.

September 17th-22nd:  Mainly a warm week with mild temperatures working in by the weekend.  Thunderstorm chances from Thursday through Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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