Late Saturday PM August 11th – Welcome Rain Chances Still Lining Up

Good late Saturday evening, everyone. For most of you, it was a quiet day. It was also hot & a bit humid. After we started in the middle to upper 60s, most of you topped out in the lower to middle 90s today. For some, though, you had partly sunny skies give way to some random pop-up t-storms. That kept some of you mainly in the upper 80s this afternoon. While some cloud cover will remain overnight, the radar below will remain dry around here…

We’ll be warm again for your Sunday, but Sunday is the day we’ll start to see t-storm chances pick up. While scattered t-storms are possible Sunday, we still appear to be setting up for multiple days of rain chances for this coming week. I have the forecast spelled out for you right below…

Don’t forget that Doug has his long-range forecast out through middle to late September. You can find that right below.

Have a good night and a great Sunday!

Nick

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through July

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A warm start to the week.  We will heat into the 90s by mid week but back into the 80s by late week.  Hit and miss storms once again on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday.  Then again by Friday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s each day.

August 26th-September 1st:    Another hot week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday, then again on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on the thundestorm days.

September 2nd-8th:  Mainly a warm week with mild temperatures briefly mid week.  Thunderstorm chances Sunday through Wednesday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s thunderstorm days.

September 9th- 16th:  A hot start to the week with warm temperatures the second half of the week.  Thunderstorm chances on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. Then again on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s each day.

September 17th-22nd:  Mainly a warm week with mild temperatures working in by the weekend.  Thunderstorm chances from Thursday through Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

Doug

#headypattern

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dheady@koamtv.com

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