Thursday Morning Blog: Additional storms, cooler temperatures, long range forecast.

Good Thursday morning!  I hope your week has been going great so far.  Mine has been pretty good.  I have been sitting here watching these little thunderstorms pass through.  However, most of today looks pretty good.  Check out the radar below.

Most of the day looks ok.  We will have an isolated shower this afternoon, but temperatures will be great.

Partly sunny and excellent on Friday.  Look at our highs.

However, our next wave, right on schedule works in on Friday night and Saturday morning.

We will have a break in the day, then additional afternoon storms.  Some of these could be strong to severe.  Lets go with a 3-4 on my severe weather index on a 1-10 scale.  Strong to severe storms will occur in the yellow circle.

Don’t forget, check out my long range forecast below.

Doug

 

Here is your 7-day forecast:

Lets check out the Heady Pattern and your long range forecast.

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through July

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Back into the 90s through the week with thunderstorm chances on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  The rest of the week mainly dry until pop-up storms return for Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale. 1 on Monday and Saturday.  2 on Tuesday and Wednesday.

July 1st-7th:  Hot all week with pop up storms on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday, then again on Friday and Saturday.  Severe weather index:  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s through the period.

July 8th-14th:  Hot through Wednesday, but warm temperatures return for Thursday through Saturday.  A few thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on Wednesday and Thursday.

July 15th-21st:  Hot most of the week with thunderstorms chances on Monday and Tuesday, then Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s the days with thunderstorms.

July 22nd-28th:  Another hot week with pop-up storms on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s thunderstorm days.

July 29th-August 5th:  Mainly a hot week with highs in the 90s or 100s.  Slight chances for thunderstorms on Saturday the 5th.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale. 1 on Saturday.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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