Friday Morning Blog: Almost to the weekend! More pop-up storms, super hot and long range forecast

Good Friday morning!  My gosh, it is almost the weekend.  I am not sure why I am complaining, I only worked four days this week.  Thursday was one crazy day.  We hit 102 degrees which was the hottest temperature we have seen this summer.  But here, we have the hot temps and the humidity, this is way worse than a dry heat.  Also on top of that, we had the severe storms that rolled through during the afternoon.  The winds from the outflow of the storms was amazing.  We dropped 25 degrees in minutes.  However, thoughts and prayers for all of the families and people associated with the Table Rock Lake tragedy.  We still have a few random storms but most of us our dry which you can see on the radar below.

Today will be blitzing hot again.

Plus with a front sinking south, we will have a few scattered thunderstorms.  Due to the timing of the front, our northern counties should still make it in the 92-95 degree range.  Mid counties (including Joplin Metro) near 100.  Southern counties around 105 degrees.  Ugh.  Changes next week which is right in line with the Heady Pattern.  In fact, this matches with Hurricane Harvey from 12 months ago.  That right there shows you where the cycle sets up.  However, the upper low will cool us down a bit next week which is great.

 

Long range forecast is below.

-D

 

Here is your 7-day forecast:

Remember, my long range forecast is below.  Have a great and safe weekend.

-Doug

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through July

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  Temperatures not as bad, yes still hot but not 95-100 degrees.  We are mainly talking mid to upper 80s to near 90 degrees.  We will have thunderstorm chances on Friday and Saturday. This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale. 1’s on thunderstorm days.

July 29th-August 4th:  A warm start to the week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday.  The heat, the humidity really return the second half of the week leading into August.  Also, mainly dry this week.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1 on Sunday.

August 5th-11th:  A hot start to the week, but warm temperatures (Mainly 80s) work in Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday.  The heat returns to end the week.  We will have the hit and miss storms just about each and every day.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  Just 1’s on the severe weather chart.

August 12th-18th:  The heat and humidity return with highs into the 90s if not 100s through the week.  Mainly a dry week.This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  

August 19th-25th:  A hot first half of the week with warm temperatures the second half of the week.  A few pop-up storms on Tuesday and Wednesday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s on Tuesday and Wednesday.

August 26th-September 1st:  A hot week with pop-up storms on Sunday, Thursday and Friday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on the thundestorm days.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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