Friday Morning Blog: High School Football Tonight! Forecast, thunderstorms and long range forecast!

Good Friday morning! I hope you have had a great week! Mine has been actually pretty good.  I am looking forward to the weekend, actually Sunday.  My Chiefs, defense just absolutely stinks I think, but the offense can be something special, I so can’t wait.  So lets take a look at the radar below.  You can see the scattered showers and thunderstorms.

As we work through the morning hours, showers and thunderstorms will increase.

by afternoon they will take over the area.

By Saturday most of the showers and thunderstorms will be pushing east, I do think showers will stick around through the morning hours.  Also High School Football, take the rain gear just in case, at least nothing will be to strong or severe.

Doug

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through September

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A warm week with mainly highs in the 80s. The first half of the week will be mainly dry with a few afternoon pop-up storms on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s each day.

September 17th-22nd:  Most of the week will be warm with scattered pop-up storms most of the week.    This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.  2 on Friday and a 3 on Saturday.

September 23rd-29th:  Cooling down a bit with mild temperatures the last week of September.  We are looking at mainly 60s and 70s.  Thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.   This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2 on Friday and a 3 on Saturday.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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