Thursday AM Blog: More thunderstorms and a pattern update

Good Thursday morning!  I hope your week is going great so far.  Mine has been great!  Just staying busy like always.  I actually need to get some errands done today before work.  First off I want to give you a pattern update.  Remember the Heady Pattern or new one will be completely set here in 2 and a half weeks.  This is a 2 month process as we morph from old to new.  So in late July the old pattern slowly fades as the new pattern slowly fades in.  Remember, when I say pattern, that is how storm systems react.  I am sure you can tell the change.  May was hot and dry.  June was hot and dry.  July was hot and dry.  August, not so much.  We had 7″ of rain, more rain than we had the previous 3 months combined.  This is the new pattern!  It is evident the new pattern is pretty much here and really no denying it.  Now the new cycle has been in place for a couple months and we have now completed cycle number one of this new cycle.  I still have to be very careful not to give that away to others.  However, once the new pattern is completely set, I will go ahead and fill you in on the new cycle length.  I am very excited that I have developed enough technology to be able to find the new cycle length so early.  To me this is ground breaking and I will continue to expand this with my side business.  I am excited about this upcoming pattern.  I think it will be a great pattern, well for weather lovers.

so what is coming the next few days? We have been dealing with tropical moisture that past few days and this will continue until Saturday.  Take a look at the radar below.

We will have scattered thunderstorms through the morning hours.  Take a look where the Low is for what is left over from Gordon.

These will die down late morning but pop right up again during the afternoon.

Here is your day planner.

Our left over Gordon will stall for about a day before kicking out on Saturday morning.  So more scattered thunderstorms for Friday.

Make sure you check out the forecast for September below.  I haven’t added October, November and December yet, but it is coming now that I have watched one whole cycle of the new cycle length.  Please know I also have to be very careful on information that I give out to other meteorologist, so if you have any questions please FB me at meteorologist Doug Heady or email at dheady@koamtv.com

Doug

 

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through September

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A warm week with mainly highs in the 80s. The first half of the week will be mainly dry with a few afternoon pop-up storms on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s each day.

September 17th-22nd:  Most of the week will be warm with scattered pop-up storms most of the week.    This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.  2 on Friday and a 3 on Saturday.

September 23rd-29th:  Cooling down a bit with mild temperatures the last week of September.  We are looking at mainly 60s and 70s.  Thunderstorms on Friday and Saturday.   This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2 on Friday and a 3 on Saturday.

Doug

#headypattern

#4-stateweather

dheady@koamtv.com

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