Late Sunday PM August 5th – Rain Chances on the Horizon

Good late Sunday evening, everyone. Another weekend has come and gone. We kept this weekend quiet with it definitely feeling like summer around here. We had highs back into the middle to upper 90s this afternoon after we started in the middle 70s this morning. After dealing with another hot day, it would have been nice to at least have a little rain to help take the edge off the heat a little bit. Unfortunately, the radar below won’t show any rain heading our way tonight…

For most of your Monday, it’ll be another quiet day with partly sunny skies. With a good south and southwest wind in play, that will make sure we have another hot & humid day lined up for us. Thankfully, we have our next system waiting to work on in. The latest forecast is right below…

As for where we sit in terms of Doug’s pattern, he has his update right below…

Heady Pattern Update:  The next cycle is fully in place.  Remember the pattern doesn’t begin until the end of September.  However, we are in the morphing stage from the old into the new.  Also with the cycle, the old 47 day cycle is morphing from old to new.  The new cycle is completely in place and I have it nailed down.  As we work through the next two months the new cycle gets stronger and stronger as the old 47 day cycle weakens each week.  Long range forecast is below.

Have a good night and a great Monday!

Nick

Pattern Background:

The pattern sets up each and every year from September 20th until October 10th.  The pattern is how storm systems will react.  In the pattern, there is a recurring cycle that takes place.  The cycle length can be from 40 up to 65 days long.  If we look at this years cycle, it is about 48 days long.  That means todays weather is similar to 48 days ago and 48 days from now.  I have been working on this pattern since 1999 in college when I noticed a snowstorm in Lawrence, KS had an odd look to it.  We had another snowstorm about two months later that had that same odd look to it.  A couple months later we had a severe weather outbreak that again had that same odd look.  It was the pattern that gave it that odd look, but the cycle that spread these storms out equally.  Since that point in time, I have been working on this pattern and find something new each and every year. 

Long range forecast through July

LONG RANGE FORECAST BASED OFF THE HEADY PATTERN. THIS COVERS NEBRASKA, IOWA, KANSAS, MISSOURI, OKLAHOMA AND ARKANSAS.

Next Week:  A hot start to the week with 90s on Sunday and Monday.  Plus, the humidity will be on the high side.  Thunderstorms on Tuesday with a cold front sliding through.  80s for a couple of days before the 90s return late in the week.  Very slight chance for an isolated storm on Friday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2 on Tuesday.

August 12th-18th:    This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s each day.

August 19th-25th:  A warm start to the week, but the heat returns for the rest of the week.  Hit and miss storms through Wednesday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s each day.

August 26th-September 1st:    Another hot week with thunderstorm chances on Sunday and Monday, then again on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  1’s on the thundestorm days.

September 2nd-8th:  Mainly a warm week with mild temperatures briefly mid week.  Thunderstorm chances Sunday through Wednesday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s thunderstorm days.

September 9th- 16th:  A hot start to the week with warm temperatures the second half of the week.  Thunderstorm chances on Sunday, Monday and Tuesday. Then again on Friday and Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s each day.

September 17th-22nd:  Mainly a warm week with mild temperatures working in by the weekend.  Thunderstorm chances from Thursday through Saturday.  This is the chances for severe weather on a 1-10 scale.  2’s on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

Doug

#headypattern

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dheady@koamtv.com

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